2007 Red Sox Prognostication [Results]

By Tim Kofol

Published: October 31st, 2007

Before the season started I made my predictions on how the 2007 Red Sox baseball season would go. Man was I off. But I will face up to my errors.

First congratulations to the Sox, even though I had predicted a Dodgers victory, I am happy that the title went to the Sox.

Sox Pitchers:

  • Curt Schilling
    • Projected 16-7 4.10
    • Actual 9-8 3.87
    • Probably not enough to get him a contract extension
  • Josh Beckett
    • Projected 15-9 4.25
    • Actual 20-7 3.27
    • I was way off on Becket, the guy incredible.
  • Daisuke Matsuzaka
    • Projected 18-6 3.65
    • Actual 15-12 4.40
    • A Becket like first year, hopefully he will make the same leap Becket made
  • Tim Wakefield
    • Projected 13-12 4.80
    • Actual 17 – 12 4.76
    • As expected
  • Julian Tavarez
    • Projected 4-6 5.20
    • Actual 7 – 11 5.15
    • Lasted a little longer into the season the I expected.
  • Jonathan Papelbon
    • Projected 48 Saves 0.95 Era
    • Actual 37 Save 1.85
    • Thought he might have a chance at the Cy, didn’t happen this year but it isn’t out of the realm of possibility.

Sox Hitters

  1. Julio Lugo
    • Projected .280 AVG 13 HR 24 SB 95 Runs
    • Actual .237 AVG 8 HR 33 SB 71 Runs
    • He looked much better in Tampa
  2. Kevin Youkilis
    • Projected .265 AVG 19 HR 85 RBI
    • Actual .288 AVG 16 HR 83 RBI
    • Just a good hitter and lead the league in sweating
    • Improved Power Numbers
  3. David Ortiz
    • Projected .290 AVG 48 HR 120 RBI
    • Actual .332 AVG 35 HR 117 RBI
    • A little less power but hopefully knee surgery will get him back
  4. Manny Ramirez
    • Projected.305 AVG 32 HR 105 RBI
    • Actual .296 AVG 20 HR 88 RBI
    • Below average season, Manny skills may start deteriorating
  5. J.D. Drew
    • Projected .290 AVG 25 HR 100 RBI
    • Actual .270 AVG 11 HR 64 RBI
    • Next year is his breakout year … maybe?
  6. Mike Lowell
    • Projected .260 AVG 14 HR 60 RBI –
    • Actual .324 AVG 21 HR 120 RBI
    • I may be the only one in Boston hoping A-Rod comes to town
  7. Jason Varitek
    • Projected .245 AVG 12 HR 60 RBI
    • Actual .255 AVG 17 HR 68 RBI
    • Boston better start looking for Tek’s replacement
  8. Coco Crisp
    • Projected .300 AVG 15 HR 70 RBI 25 SB
    • Actual .268 AVG 6 HR 60 RBI 28 SB
    • Bye Bye
  9. Dustin Pedroia
    • Projected .290 AVG 6 HR 70 RBI
    • Actual .317 AVG 8 HR 50 RBI
    • Rookie of the Year

Actual (Predicted)

NL
  • East: Phillies (Mets)
  • Central: Cubs (Cubs)
  • West: Diamondbacks (Diamondbacks)
  • Wild Card: Rockies (Dodgers)
  • Champion: Rockies (Dodgers)
AL
  • East: Sox (Sox)
  • Central: Indians (Tigers)
  • West: Angels (A’s)
  • Wild Card: Yankees (Blue Jays)
  • Champion: Sox (A’s)
  • World Series Champs – Sox (Dodgers)

3 for 8 in predicting who would make the playoffs. Well I would be a pretty productive hitter with that average. Already looking forward to next season.

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